La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022682f78b2ec30312ef33c5cf5f6f4e374537a08d41be4c5331af51abf71443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 4,831$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 69c | 3,522$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.82 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 66c | 3,299$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.58 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 1c | 2,457$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Under | 1c | 1,024$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +312.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 972.95$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 34c | 832$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 66c | 609.22$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.23 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 31c | 444$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 19c | 412.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 380.75$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Over | 68c | 253$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 34c | 222$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 32c | 181$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 31c | 94.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…bec4backed Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 69c | 83.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 35c | 72.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 33c | 71.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 51.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Under | 35c | 45.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 32c | 36.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 69c | 34.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Over | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…9f97backed Over | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.