Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d6f03d752d1ae089051d465e0c5f845920b885a933380e3d7e01d05377c156f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof Wagner Seahawks, LIU Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,781 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4d4…de0cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 17c | 395$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 18c | 342.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b61…0cebbacked Wagner Seahawks | 18c | 322$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Wagner Seahawks | 18c | 317$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LIU Sharks | 77c | 222$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 20c | 194.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Wagner Seahawks | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Wagner Seahawks | 12c | 113.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Wagner Seahawks | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Wagner Seahawks | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LIU Sharks | 70c | 95.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 82.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Wagner Seahawks | 18c | 79.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks | 20c | 73.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Wagner Seahawks | 17c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked LIU Sharks | 80c | 35.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…b6d3backed LIU Sharks | 66c | 25.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed LIU Sharks | 68c | 22.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed LIU Sharks | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.