Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Jiangsu Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2590ca7c970aa05b26c6498db70c4ec1f8dde57aff9c3feba440f39537938bbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Golden Bullsof Zhejiang Golden Bulls, Jiangsu Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 80c | 2,127$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.4 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 270.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…17c4backed Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 200.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 197.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 77c | 153$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 11c | 149.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 124$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…f0d5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 110.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Jiangsu Dragons | 17c | 64.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 55.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jiangsu Dragons | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.