Lol · resolved market
LoL: FN Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9432acd4279c1a9287e3836441ec3f85545780d271a454f7af8a5857ff0c05f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FN Esportsof FN Esports, 3BL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3414…067abacked 3BL Esports | 16c | 552.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 3BL Esports | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed FN Esports | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 3BL Esports | 14c | 202.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed FN Esports | 53c | 187.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…e584backed 3BL Esports | 23c | 184.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FN Esports | 80c | 153.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 3BL Esports | 21c | 150.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked 3BL Esports | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed 3BL Esports | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed 3BL Esports | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked FN Esports | 76c | 102.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed 3BL Esports | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed 3BL Esports | 32c | 92.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked FN Esports | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed 3BL Esports | 80c | 75.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed FN Esports | 20c | 70.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FN Esports | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…c4ecbacked 3BL Esports | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…5290backed 3BL Esports | 33c | 56.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked 3BL Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed FN Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…365fbacked 3BL Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed FN Esports | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fe5backed FN Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed FN Esports | 60c | 17.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.