Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Providence Friars vs. Connecticut Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aed6efe542bac789cccd9601c585905a2a7dd00b20584d76391c90b1a3e0e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Huskiesof Providence Friars, Connecticut Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Providence Friars | 13c | 2,965$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.56 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Providence Friars | 13c | 1,652$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.43 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Providence Friars | 6c | 1,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Providence Friars | 10c | 1,463$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Providence Friars | 8c | 1,456$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Providence Friars | 9c | 1,345$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Providence Friars | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Providence Friars | 7c | 1,105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Providence Friars | 9c | 999.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Providence Friars | 8c | 799.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars | 8c | 793.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars | 6c | 567.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Providence Friars | 7c | 537.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Providence Friars | 15c | 361.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Providence Friars | 5c | 321.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Providence Friars | 6c | 285.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Friars | 19c | 195.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Providence Friars | 10c | 149$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd451…8f37backed Providence Friars | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Providence Friars | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Providence Friars vs. Connecticut Huskiesthis page
- Providence Friars vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-14.5)Providence Friars won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-15.5)Providence Friars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.