CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4977179357cd5e10aba6267344e53c80bc05ad866a1a42a69cbc9300b0b8219b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Fluxo, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo | 16c | 1,859$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.82 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Fluxo | 9c | 300.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…296ebacked Yawara Esports | 64c | 290.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yawara Esports | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Fluxo | 9c | 146.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yawara Esports | 14c | 132.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Fluxo | 17c | 116.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fluxo | 14c | 105.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Fluxo | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…58bdbacked Yawara Esports | 28c | 97.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo | 47c | 71.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 60.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yawara Esports | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked Fluxo | 31c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 42.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo | 44c | 41.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Fluxo | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Fluxo | 65c | 36.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Fluxo | 35c | 29.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…a8adbacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 28.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed Yawara Esports | 74c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Fluxo | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Fluxo | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Fluxo | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5232…e61abacked Yawara Esports | 74c | 19.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.