Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zips
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b4ad8827663a030b00be71ff38bf676a9ddbf55344797306adadb455402757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akron Zipsof Toledo Rockets, Akron Zips
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Akron Zips | 71c | 1,988$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Toledo Rockets | 30c | 1,977$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.12 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Toledo Rockets | 12c | 1,967$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.79 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Toledo Rockets | 26c | 740.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Akron Zips | 70c | 646$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Akron Zips | 68c | 572.77$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Toledo Rockets | 18c | 464.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Toledo Rockets | 19c | 416.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Akron Zips | 69c | 288.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Toledo Rockets | 8c | 260$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toledo Rockets | 16c | 252.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Akron Zips | 80c | 244$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Toledo Rockets | 24c | 232$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Akron Zips | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Akron Zips | 73c | 154.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Toledo Rockets | 14c | 145.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toledo Rockets | 16c | 125.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Toledo Rockets | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toledo Rockets | 26c | 102.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Akron Zips | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Toledo Rockets | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Toledo Rockets | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Toledo Rockets | 45c | 99.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Akron Zips | 80c | 97.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Toledo Rockets | 13c | 93.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Akron Zips | 55c | 93.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Akron Zips | 73c | 83.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Toledo Rockets | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Akron Zips | 78c | 54.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Akron Zips | 73c | 44.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Akron Zips | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipsthis page
- Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zips: O/U 169.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.