Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cefa261bfbee131da94a3ca013886a58606ae27055175ee62910251cd9aa532

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: North Carolina State Wolfpackof Syracuse Orange, North Carolina State Wolfpack
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,517 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange	5c	1,009$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.08	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Syracuse Orange	12c	734.78$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.69	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Syracuse Orange	14c	609.92$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.44	244	44.7%109 W · 135 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Syracuse Orange	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	233	31.3%73 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Syracuse Orange	17c	431$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.27	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Syracuse Orange	8c	399.96$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	115	7%8 W · 107 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Syracuse Orange	17c	133.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	315	37.8%119 W · 196 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Syracuse Orange	14c	126.75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	125	37.6%47 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Syracuse Orange	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	24%48 W · 152 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Syracuse Orange	23c	112$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Syracuse Orange	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	181	29.3%53 W · 128 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Syracuse Orange	16c	99.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Syracuse Orange	11c	99.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	-9.6wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Syracuse Orange	15c	95.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Syracuse Orange	15c	78.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	668	31.4%210 W · 458 L	-43.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackthis page
Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 151.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event