Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9086c36debbba7c4f515ea6e0937764b101a672ab9126edd47beb315fae32a5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Penn State Nittany Lions, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 10c | 4,264$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 1c | 3,396$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 11c | 3,118$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 1c | 1,256$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 2c | 1,130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 10c | 1,040$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 6c | 1,034$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 7c | 1,027$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…14b6backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 11c | 977$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 19c | 859.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 12c | 459.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 6c | 344.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 11c | 277.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 7c | 255.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 13c | 184.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 13c | 159.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 12c | 159.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 9c | 152.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 10c | 137$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 10c | 136.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 8c | 131.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 13c | 124$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 13c | 100.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 13c | 80.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 16c | 68.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 24c | 62.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.