CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd09573c39eb75c43f1138fdb7f82f4dd7c9bb3c19e27a6021f125aa00ec815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof BESTIA Academy, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BESTIA Academy | 0c | 13,729$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BESTIA Academy | 16c | 4,640$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.11 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA Academy | 10c | 3,713$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked BESTIA Academy | 7c | 3,035$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BESTIA Academy | 10c | 1,350$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked RED Canids | 80c | 442.39$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed BESTIA Academy | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed RED Canids | 64c | 365.13$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked BESTIA Academy | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed BESTIA Academy | 10c | 200.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed RED Canids | 63c | 158.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked BESTIA Academy | 9c | 138.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…9d50backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 135.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962c…bcd6backed BESTIA Academy | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed BESTIA Academy | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed BESTIA Academy | 25c | 95.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked RED Canids | 63c | 92.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked BESTIA Academy | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed RED Canids | 57c | 77.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece4…4001backed RED Canids | 78c | 71.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed RED Canids | 69c | 50.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed RED Canids | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked BESTIA Academy | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed RED Canids | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…3053backed BESTIA Academy | 35c | 28.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…b223backed RED Canids | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…a2d3backed RED Canids | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids - Map 2 WinnerRED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5)BESTIA Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.