Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Jose State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bb34c6d817e5e2fe87057ef1bc87bafe78d5ab8a28e326447aaec9ff784719d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof San Jose State Spartans, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 3,906$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.84 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed San Jose State Spartans | 22c | 872.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wyoming Cowboys | 75c | 300.61$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed San Jose State Spartans | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 229.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 226$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked San Jose State Spartans | 23c | 204$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 201.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wyoming Cowboys | 73c | 190.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed San Jose State Spartans | 25c | 154$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…1906backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 145.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 113$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Wyoming Cowboys | 65c | 100.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 72.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 67.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed San Jose State Spartans | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed San Jose State Spartans | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wyoming Cowboys | 73c | 23.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboysthis page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 141.5Under won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 142.5Under won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 143.5Under won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.