CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27621d38b6ad82cab57a9dcb17b9ada44958b05a51cf8199cdd76b4821768673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 2,109$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.22 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Sangal | 15c | 1,700$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Sangal | 35c | 1,499$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.81 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 1,492$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Sangal | 33c | 419.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Sangal | 17c | 327.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Sangal | 36c | 175$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Sangal | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Sangal | 37c | 134.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Sangal | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Sangal | 22c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Sangal | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Sangal | 40c | 50.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4ad0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 50.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed Sangal | 22c | 48.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 78c | 44.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Nuclear TigeRES | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 29.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Sangal - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Sangal - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.