Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Leo Borg vs Niklas Guttau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc420e58071547047f0e52d4ddb230e59952e4767645a4f491e279fc65d2953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niklas Guttauof Leo Borg, Niklas Guttau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Niklas Guttau | 34c | 3,140$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.17 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Leo Borg | 32c | 1,805$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.87 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Niklas Guttau | 47c | 1,692$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.84 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Niklas Guttau | 69c | 1,483$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leo Borg | 60c | 1,206$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.23 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Leo Borg | 55c | 1,022$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.06 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Borg | 59c | 518.23$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.05 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Niklas Guttau | 45c | 443.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.14 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Leo Borg | 69c | 390$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Leo Borg | 57c | 362$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Leo Borg | 59c | 340.88$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Leo Borg | 59c | 308.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Leo Borg | 28c | 205.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Leo Borg | 26c | 205.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Leo Borg | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Niklas Guttau | 46c | 179.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leo Borg | 54c | 179.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Niklas Guttau | 61c | 175.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leo Borg | 57c | 156$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Leo Borg | 60c | 136.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Niklas Guttau | 36c | 135.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Leo Borg | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Niklas Guttau | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Niklas Guttau | 69c | 109.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Niklas Guttau | 45c | 108.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Leo Borg | 52c | 107.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Leo Borg | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Leo Borg | 55c | 86.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Leo Borg | 61c | 80.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Niklas Guttau | 49c | 68.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…384ebacked Leo Borg | 63c | 59.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Leo Borg | 52c | 53.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leo Borg | 50c | 52.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Leo Borg | 43c | 46.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Niklas Guttau | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Leo Borg | 66c | 42.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Leo Borg | 50c | 38.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Leo Borg | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Niklas Guttau | 40c | 33.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Niklas Guttau | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Niklas Guttau | 74c | 27.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Niklas Guttau | 49c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Borg | 74c | 25.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Leo Borg | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…9c81backed Leo Borg | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Leo Borg | 79c | 14.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Båstad Men: Leo Borg vs Niklas Guttauthis page
- ITF M15 Båstad Men: Completed Match: Leo Borg vs Niklas GuttauYes won
- Leo Borg vs. Niklas Guttau: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.