Tennis · resolved market
ITF Leipzig: Valentina Steiner vs Julie Pastikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30244fec36ac68d6d04e0e32d966997e16a0b82a07a8e66b740d3a7b42c6d924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Steinerof Valentina Steiner, Julie Pastikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julie Pastikova | 43c | 9,984$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.98 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentina Steiner | 49c | 7,502$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.95 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentina Steiner | 78c | 2,383$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.16 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Julie Pastikova | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Valentina Steiner | 50c | 1,648$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Julie Pastikova | 10c | 1,408$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Julie Pastikova | 27c | 835.34$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Valentina Steiner | 80c | 706.62$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Julie Pastikova | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Julie Pastikova | 11c | 342.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Julie Pastikova | 33c | 335.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Julie Pastikova | 17c | 328.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Julie Pastikova | 22c | 326.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Julie Pastikova | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Julie Pastikova | 23c | 236.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Valentina Steiner | 46c | 224.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Valentina Steiner | 51c | 222.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Julie Pastikova | 29c | 206.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Julie Pastikova | 19c | 198.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…3b57backed Valentina Steiner | 76c | 180.26$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Valentina Steiner | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Julie Pastikova | 25c | 155.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Julie Pastikova | 8c | 152.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Julie Pastikova | 18c | 145.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Julie Pastikova | 19c | 142$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Valentina Steiner | 78c | 140.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Julie Pastikova | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Julie Pastikova | 17c | 109.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Valentina Steiner | 58c | 104.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Julie Pastikova | 11c | 98.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Valentina Steiner | 79c | 97.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julie Pastikova | 22c | 91.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Julie Pastikova | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Julie Pastikova | 26c | 83.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Valentina Steiner | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Julie Pastikova | 21c | 74.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Julie Pastikova | 36c | 70.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Valentina Steiner | 63c | 67.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Valentina Steiner | 76c | 65.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 171 | 71.3%122 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Valentina Steiner | 59c | 59.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Julie Pastikova | 18c | 57.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Julie Pastikova | 23c | 54.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Valentina Steiner | 47c | 50.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Valentina Steiner | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Julie Pastikova | 47c | 44.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Julie Pastikova | 54c | 44.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Valentina Steiner | 52c | 41.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Valentina Steiner | 60c | 35.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Valentina Steiner | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Julie Pastikova | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Julie Pastikova | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Julie Pastikova | 53c | 21.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Valentina Steiner | 77c | 17.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.