MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5df65d4c9d010544426a56aa7e9dc91aaa3fe548e44c1ce50db79725e82376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 204,081$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.66 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 75,713$38,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,099.18 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 16,129$8,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,903.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 48c | 14,415$6,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,919.17 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 13,631$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,806.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 13,617$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.65 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 52c | 6,888$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.12 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 5,343$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.65 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 3,309$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 48c | 2,001$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.47 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,757$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.36 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 1,471$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 52c | 1,373$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.81 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 52c | 1,176$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.71 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…9720backed Over | 50c | 1,147$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.25 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 945.59$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 915$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.14 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 824.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 798$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 49c | 652.81$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 583.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 52c | 573.54$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 56c | 523.56$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 52c | 502.66$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.28 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 52c | 502.66$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.28 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 423.56$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.82 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 383$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Under | 49c | 340.82$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 12c | 303.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Over | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 264$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 68c | 259$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Over | 61c | 219$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 52c | 210.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 53c | 181.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 20c | 160.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 19c | 158$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 49c | 153.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 80c | 145.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 52c | 136.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 117.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Over | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 96.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 84.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 77.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 73.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 52c | 66.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 51c | 66.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 60.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Over | 48c | 55.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 41c | 54.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Under | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 52c | 46.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 49c | 42.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 52c | 42.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 40.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 35.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 33.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 52c | 33.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 52c | 30.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Under | 52c | 29.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…7a5abacked Under | 45c | 26.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.