Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Sussex vs Worcestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41bd39cd585da81560ba2fb7c751652d3e6d967f052c3b757408455783765a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Worcestershireof Sussex, Worcestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sussex | 38c | 811.81$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sussex | 46c | 623.08$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.33 | 396 | 44.2%175 W · 221 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Worcestershire | 64c | 558$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Worcestershire | 47c | 340.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.74 | 108 | 69.4%75 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Worcestershire | 35c | 195.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Worcestershire | 58c | 194.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Worcestershire | 61c | 191.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 160 | 66.3%106 W · 54 L | +16.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Worcestershire | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Sussex | 43c | 184.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sussex | 66c | 116.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Sussex | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Worcestershire | 64c | 96.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Sussex | 24c | 96.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Worcestershire | 59c | 81.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Worcestershire | 67c | 81.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Worcestershire | 45c | 75.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sussex | 35c | 73.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Worcestershire | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 188 | 52.1%98 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Sussex | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Sussex | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sussex | 58c | 43.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sussex | 71c | 42.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Worcestershire | 70c | 35.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 196 | 57.7%113 W · 83 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sussex | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sussex | 40c | 32.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Worcestershire | 76c | 30.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Sussex | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sussex | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…8d5dbacked Worcestershire | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…6e2fbacked Sussex | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Worcestershire | 60c | 22.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…8ca3backed Sussex | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…0570backed Worcestershire | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…677bbacked Sussex | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ff88backed Worcestershire | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Worcestershire | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sussex | 57c | 18.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 235 | 34.5%81 W · 154 L | -18.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.