MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7697e587092c782b91dff922512fca04d0d27a14c5af0a66ad5d49405ac7b349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 53c | 29,216$15,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,372.13 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 19,737$9,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,460.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 19,395$14,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 31c | 15,636$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Athletics | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 53c | 14,674$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 45c | 13,290$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Athletics | 21c | 6,964$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.11 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 6,542$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.84 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 29c | 5,416$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 4,948$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.92 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 4,886$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 9c | 3,195$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.96 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 53c | 2,535$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Athletics | 4c | 2,473$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Athletics | 8c | 2,406$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics | 10c | 2,037$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 10c | 2,017$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,960$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.79 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,927$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.08 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics | 53c | 1,899$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.43 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics | 42c | 1,742$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.16 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 1c | 1,690$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 4c | 1,644$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,634$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.55 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 1,486$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 11c | 1,475$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Athletics | 18c | 1,344$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.22 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 20c | 1,294$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 9c | 1,232$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 16c | 1,039$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 953.08$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Athletics | 7c | 914.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 810.71$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.71 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 801.08$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.44 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Athletics | 10c | 798.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 789.12$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 687.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Athletics | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Athletics | 3c | 667.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 618.13$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Athletics | 8c | 596.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Athletics | 21c | 576.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics | 17c | 556.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 549.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.49 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 516.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 515.1$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 509.91$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.16 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Athletics | 16c | 460$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Athletics | 3c | 441.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics | 11c | 440.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 7c | 440$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…9647backed Athletics | 53c | 420.52$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 371.4$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Athletics | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 360.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.49 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Athletics | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 301$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Athletics | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 290$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 13c | 285.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b0…b6e1backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 17c | 270$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 238.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 233.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Athletics | 10c | 205.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Athletics | 14c | 204.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 203$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Athletics | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 30c | 192.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Athletics | 52c | 191.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 185.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Athletics | 11c | 178.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Athletics | 51c | 172.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…c45cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 158.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 154.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…6f31backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 153.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 52c | 152.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Athletics | 10c | 147.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-7.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-8.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.