MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac732062d4296055dfdf60e31368e4c2366385127d6f8e4a29a114d3a14ae89b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 52c | 30,626$15,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,723.7 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 26,370$12,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,927.12 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 10,881$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.63 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 4,947$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.03 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 64c | 4,648$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.38 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 4,591$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.16 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 2,764$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.06 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 2,470$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.48 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 2,110$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.23 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,853$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.5 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 1,574$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.26 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,543$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.61 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 51c | 1,326$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.97 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 37c | 1,291$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.84 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 1,192$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.52 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 50c | 992.16$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 46c | 947.56$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.88 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Over | 57c | 906$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.58 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 674.55$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.81 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Over | 53c | 502.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 53c | 443.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 57c | 421$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 57c | 419.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 351.15$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 312.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 49c | 307.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 284.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 51c | 235.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 46c | 215.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over | 55c | 210.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 51c | 196.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 179.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 35c | 176.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Over | 51c | 175.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Over | 51c | 166.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 165.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 33c | 153$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Over | 57c | 151$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 35c | 141.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 57c | 131.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 77c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 111.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 48c | 101.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 24c | 96.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Over | 46c | 83.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Over | 60c | 81.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 52c | 77.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 57c | 69.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 49c | 65.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 47c | 64.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 52c | 53.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 42c | 53.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 54c | 36.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 48c | 34.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 57c | 33.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…344abacked Under | 48c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Under | 46c | 30.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. AthleticsMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-7.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-8.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.