Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Zachary Svajda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ba8879242f3b97a9b1eaf5d04053293894ff66987cb7e3820b9f6837d4f4a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Casper Ruudof Casper Ruud, Zachary Svajda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Zachary Svajda | 2c | 91,317$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Zachary Svajda | 1c | 25,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Zachary Svajda | 2c | 11,785$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Zachary Svajda | 9c | 7,934$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.75 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Zachary Svajda | 5c | 4,718$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.89 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Zachary Svajda | 3c | 3,455$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Zachary Svajda | 8c | 3,128$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Zachary Svajda | 7c | 2,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Zachary Svajda | 1c | 2,515$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Zachary Svajda | 2c | 1,947$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Zachary Svajda | 4c | 1,874$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Zachary Svajda | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…4492backed Zachary Svajda | 1c | 1,387$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Zachary Svajda | 1c | 1,350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Zachary Svajda | 1c | 1,062$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Zachary Svajda | 3c | 1,017$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…4683backed Zachary Svajda | 1c | 1,007$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Zachary Svajda | 2c | 964.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Zachary Svajda | 8c | 836.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Zachary Svajda | 1c | 801.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zachary Svajda | 7c | 793.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ff…309fbacked Zachary Svajda | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Zachary Svajda | 7c | 718$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Zachary Svajda | 8c | 525.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Zachary Svajda | 4c | 513.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…bce2backed Zachary Svajda | 7c | 486.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Zachary Svajda | 9c | 304.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…1dcbbacked Zachary Svajda | 4c | 288.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Zachary Svajda | 7c | 199.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zachary Svajda | 7c | 148.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zachary Svajda | 7c | 142.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Zachary Svajda | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Zachary Svajdathis page
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)Ruud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.