Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Mimi Xu vs Daria Kasatkina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6bd86769d4184c55ddd178e0af10e8dc17efd1d78b128e2143db468d0e8c5d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Kasatkinaof Mimi Xu, Daria Kasatkina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafac…8730backed Mimi Xu | 11c | 22,183$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.52 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Mimi Xu | 17c | 14,996$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.51 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mimi Xu | 12c | 6,583$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mimi Xu | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Mimi Xu | 10c | 2,847$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Mimi Xu | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Mimi Xu | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Mimi Xu | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mimi Xu | 16c | 1,396$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Mimi Xu | 5c | 874.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Mimi Xu | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Mimi Xu | 13c | 653.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Mimi Xu | 21c | 444$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Mimi Xu | 14c | 273.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Mimi Xu | 18c | 271.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mimi Xu | 14c | 266.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mimi Xu | 26c | 249.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Mimi Xu | 8c | 221.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Mimi Xu | 10c | 218.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Mimi Xu | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Mimi Xu | 7c | 167$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Mimi Xu | 9c | 159.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…350abacked Daria Kasatkina | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Mimi Xu | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Mimi Xu | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mimi Xu | 13c | 104.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Mimi Xu | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Mimi Xu | 20c | 99.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Mimi Xu | 12c | 91.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mimi Xu | 19c | 91.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Mimi Xu | 14c | 81.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Mimi Xu | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Mimi Xu | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 55.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Mimi Xu | 20c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Daria Kasatkina | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Daria Kasatkina | 77c | 18.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…eea1backed Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.