MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40bf42181df7e0fb558d6d4f9fc437aff81dfa9ae6768ba89c03587cf91c370c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 52c | 77,898$40,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,565.92 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 21,521$10,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,330 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 20,100$9,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,648 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 52c | 14,568$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.64 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 14,170$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,816.14 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 12,351$6,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.54 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 6,243$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.17 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 5,464$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.24 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Under | 48c | 3,824$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,485$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 2,456$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.81 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,430$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.13 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 2,302$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.16 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 2,142$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 1,965$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.84 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,597$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 1,240$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.23 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 54c | 1,086$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.82 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 48c | 999.86$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.84 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 811.5$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.52 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 46c | 772.19$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.21 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 48c | 768.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.62 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 768.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.62 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 768.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.62 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 48c | 768.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.62 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 700.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 499.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.96 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 47c | 457.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 412.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 54c | 405.16$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.37 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 51c | 395.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 47c | 319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 50c | 286.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 270.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 49c | 266.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 225.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 49c | 206.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 29c | 202.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 8c | 197.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 188.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 52c | 151.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 48c | 146.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 144.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 50c | 130.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 71c | 126.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…0b46backed Over | 53c | 124$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 62c | 106.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 48c | 106.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Under | 48c | 103.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 95.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 92.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 47c | 87.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 47c | 81.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 80.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 57c | 78.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 78.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 53c | 65.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 61.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Over | 48c | 61.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 32c | 57.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 48c | 56.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 52c | 55.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 49.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 48c | 46.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 50c | 39.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 39.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Over | 51c | 39.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 36.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 47c | 34.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 54c | 31.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Under | 49c | 25.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 53c | 25.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…efd5backed Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 49c | 20.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 76c | 20.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 15.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 70c | 15.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis CardinalsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.