Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83590d13ef48ddb94d03aacdcc0e7820e300bf85a040a67eb7f97ab81370b4e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Quakersof Brown Bears, Penn Quakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brown Bears | 23c | 4,428$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Penn Quakers | 75c | 4,001$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.47 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brown Bears | 46c | 3,018$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penn Quakers | 60c | 1,198$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.82 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Brown Bears | 30c | 1,047$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.91 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Penn Quakers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brown Bears | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Brown Bears | 38c | 720.48$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Penn Quakers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brown Bears | 38c | 362$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn Quakers | 67c | 343.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penn Quakers | 63c | 335$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn Quakers | 51c | 274.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.01 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn Quakers | 61c | 259.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Penn Quakers | 49c | 219.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Brown Bears | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Penn Quakers | 59c | 194.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Penn Quakers | 65c | 150.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Penn Quakers | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brown Bears | 32c | 145.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Brown Bears | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brown Bears | 26c | 128$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Brown Bears | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Brown Bears | 38c | 119$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Brown Bears | 20c | 100.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Penn Quakers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Brown Bears | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Brown Bears | 27c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Brown Bears | 37c | 76.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn Quakers | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…3e2dbacked Penn Quakers | 78c | 74.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Brown Bears | 38c | 73.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…7fafbacked Brown Bears | 25c | 62.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Brown Bears | 28c | 61.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Penn Quakers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Brown Bears | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Brown Bears | 33c | 50.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Brown Bears | 39c | 47.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Penn Quakers | 73c | 46.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 72cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penn Quakers | 75c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Brown Bears | 38c | 32.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Penn Quakers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…2540backed Brown Bears | 45c | 30.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Penn Quakers | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Penn Quakers | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Penn Quakers | 76c | 25.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Penn Quakers | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Penn Quakers | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b4…80e9backed Penn Quakers | 65c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakersthis page
- Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-3.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.