Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cf753dee324ca415296ecbe62ca60094430b8ceabed287aed7dee8bddce145f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 585,245$310,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275,083.1 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 47c | 399,392$187,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,714.39 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 160,000$75,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,200 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 12,500$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 2,567$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,702$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.51 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 48c | 1,660$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.8 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…ef2fbacked Under | 51c | 1,551$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 433.81$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 299.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 49c | 161.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over | 52c | 118.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 48c | 118.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 48c | 95.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 90.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…6e99backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 50c | 35.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 31.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 52c | 25.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 144.5this page
- Brown Bears vs. Penn QuakersPenn Quakers won
- Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-3.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.