Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a3c193e49a5cb60ef384b5eb3d4755b894eff13ad0525d9a3c4d80dd1edb75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 4c | 409.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 55c | 335.42$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 53c | 301.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 294.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 43c | 282.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 40c | 274.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 20c | 255.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Yes | 56c | 218.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8596…34c2backed No | 56c | 212$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed No | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 60c | 198.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 38c | 172.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 70c | 163.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 35c | 150.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…59aebacked Yes | 41c | 149.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 58c | 144.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 44c | 143.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 50c | 139.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 37c | 137.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 134.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 47c | 131.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…ee2abacked Yes | 39c | 127.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 67c | 124.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…58c9backed Yes | 43c | 122.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 60c | 118$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 57c | 116.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…34bdbacked Yes | 43c | 116.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 44c | 113.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…1a3fbacked Yes | 32c | 113$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 109.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 18c | 103$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 59c | 99.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 63c | 99.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 61c | 99.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 53c | 99.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 98.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 36c | 98.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…d802backed Yes | 24c | 96.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 66c | 89.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 30c | 81.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 70.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 69.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 67.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 37c | 67.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…bfabbacked No | 42c | 66.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a30ebacked Yes | 24c | 65.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 62c | 64.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 40c | 62.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 60.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 59c | 58.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 35c | 57.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 30c | 56.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 38c | 55.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 63c | 53.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 39c | 51.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6737backed Yes | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 44c | 49.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…b5e8backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 60c | 48.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…abdbbacked Yes | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…5024backed No | 62c | 47.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 46.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 59c | 45.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…367dbacked Yes | 32c | 44.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 78c | 43.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Yes | 60c | 41.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked Yes | 43c | 41.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 61c | 40.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f44…c470backed Yes | 39c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 29c | 39.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 40c | 39.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…e9c1backed No | 66c | 39.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 47c | 38.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 40c | 37.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…c2a5backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 61c | 36.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 60c | 35.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…0208backed Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed No | 67c | 33.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…2c71backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…5596backed No | 48c | 32.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…84a6backed Yes | 68c | 31.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 40c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 40c | 30.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 60c | 29.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or below on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.