CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe47afd7a872f920d0a92c481d57a3a7848a0bb667ba3c41e50f4e16d326f766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7857…bab6backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 2,104$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.3 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked ex-RUBY | 5c | 1,583$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-RUBY | 8c | 1,099$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 951.05$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.63 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Tricked | 47c | 749.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.49 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 55c | 586.82$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tricked | 61c | 481.56$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tricked | 66c | 354.01$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Tricked | 47c | 343.3$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.95 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tricked | 65c | 328.79$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Tricked | 66c | 295.31$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 266.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 66c | 154.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 108.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tricked | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 61c | 86.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Tricked | 54c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 78.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tricked | 38c | 75.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Tricked | 58c | 63.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tricked | 54c | 62.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 48.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 48.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUBY | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 28.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 25.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 23.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 PlayoffsTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.