Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cornell Big Red vs. Samford Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf76bedd276823b9f9ce66849436c8d8dc6167231ef24aaba2529e032e9880ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samford Bulldogsof Cornell Big Red, Samford Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cornell Big Red | 49c | 3,987$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.41 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 3,043$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 2,987$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cornell Big Red | 56c | 1,947$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cornell Big Red | 50c | 1,880$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Samford Bulldogs | 45c | 1,602$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 1,453$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.97 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…31b9backed Cornell Big Red | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Cornell Big Red | 45c | 414.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Samford Bulldogs | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Samford Bulldogs | 34c | 288.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.83 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cornell Big Red | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cornell Big Red | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cornell Big Red | 51c | 215.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Cornell Big Red | 48c | 207.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cornell Big Red | 48c | 206.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Samford Bulldogs | 41c | 195.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cornell Big Red | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Samford Bulldogs | 43c | 104.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Samford Bulldogs | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Samford Bulldogs | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Cornell Big Red | 72c | 71.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Samford Bulldogs | 41c | 30.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Cornell Big Red | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samford Bulldogs | 53c | 26.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cornell Big Red | 60c | 23.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Cornell Big Red | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Cornell Big Red | 50c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Cornell Big Red | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.