CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd743220a0362584b62b06c0ea2d7d52548103e6f278d197ab64157ac6d8d8acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ChickenBurgerof Eternal Fire Academy, ChickenBurger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Eternal Fire Academy | 8c | 3,956$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked ChickenBurger | 47c | 794.5$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.03 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ChickenBurger | 46c | 755.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.53 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Eternal Fire Academy | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed ChickenBurger | 51c | 748.92$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.77 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Eternal Fire Academy | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire Academy | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ChickenBurger | 48c | 287.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Eternal Fire Academy | 17c | 254.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Eternal Fire Academy | 58c | 240$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 42c | 182.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…308abacked Eternal Fire Academy | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed Eternal Fire Academy | 53c | 96.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed ChickenBurger | 60c | 86.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Eternal Fire Academy | 40c | 81.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked ChickenBurger | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 54c | 55.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed ChickenBurger | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger (BO3)ChickenBurger won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger - Map 1 WinnerChickenBurger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.