Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736bf9fd796dad23025c1f0fb3d8c8d4cac0126731b7b74c9d8d4ee73aa2428a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 54c | 24,843$13,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,427.78 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 8,579$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.93 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 5,379$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.24 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 5,234$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 4,332$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.3 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,559$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.82 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 74c | 1,109$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.77 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 1,016$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.52 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 68c | 734.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 483$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 42c | 470$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 65c | 442.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 379.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 51c | 371.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 46c | 348$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 52c | 346.25$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 331.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 53c | 290$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 258.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 55c | 224.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…9738backed Yes | 30c | 210$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 46c | 200.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 11c | 183.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 56c | 166.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 69c | 157.37$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 138.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 49c | 114.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 46c | 111.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 54c | 104.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 54c | 100.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 94.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…ac78backed Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked No | 52c | 88.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 48c | 80.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf517…2c9fbacked Yes | 36c | 61.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…c669backed Yes | 47c | 55.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…10a3backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…f90bbacked Yes | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 45.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 50c | 43.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed No | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked No | 78c | 37.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…e5a3backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…981dbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…3ad1backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 58c | 29.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 55c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed No | 55c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…86c8backed No | 55c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Mexico vs. Paraguay end in a draw?No won
- Will Paraguay win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.