TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pittsburgh Panthersof Ohio State Buckeyes, Pittsburgh Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7b3…9573backed Ohio State Buckeyes59c1,400$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.066443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Panthers49c1,265$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.813,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers37c1,212$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.825,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio State Buckeyes69c1,139$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.762,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Pittsburgh Panthers59c1,116$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh Panthers34c996$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.361,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Ohio State Buckeyes55c830.45$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.346457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes67c600.58$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.5612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers26c415.46$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.641,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ohio State Buckeyes53c369.77$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Pittsburgh Panthers59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.983551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ohio State Buckeyes47c309$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.612,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers30c299.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2105137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Pittsburgh Panthers38c296.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.243946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio State Buckeyes55c255.94$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.992,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pittsburgh Panthers31c191.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0849043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ohio State Buckeyes34c150.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.361,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers33c118.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.084,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers33c116$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7252928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers29c114.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.151,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers45c105.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Pittsburgh Panthers16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306373%46 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Ohio State Buckeyes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce4…6326backed Ohio State Buckeyes36c92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.023557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Pittsburgh Panthers29c69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9965825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh Panthers34c63.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.862,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Pittsburgh Panthers27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.864322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pittsburgh Panthers46c47.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed Ohio State Buckeyes46c39.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes66c30.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9316341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a28…7f61backed Pittsburgh Panthers35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+75.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa3…7d17backed Ohio State Buckeyes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes70c28.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Ohio State Buckeyes61c26.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0915939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Ohio State Buckeyes73c25.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.67245.8%33 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x017b…4e46backed Ohio State Buckeyes51c24.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Ohio State Buckeyes57c22.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.945949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ohio State Buckeyes67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.