Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8fd51652b4744c39efe2c23a5ab9a0f5b3b6094d954d702e5d3a4730e56bd64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,500$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 1,208$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 58c | 388.41$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 29c | 299.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 267.04$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 20c | 251.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 50c | 219.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 211.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over | 33c | 195$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 62c | 161.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 55c | 149.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 38c | 138.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 42c | 116.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 113.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Over | 26c | 107.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 12c | 96.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 66.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 67c | 54.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 28.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 44c | 28.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 27.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…5cbcbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.