Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c79f2f764112522b90d4c7cb7049d0bc42ef2af2c8fc589f63ce037574ac689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarpsborg 08 FFof Vålerenga Fotball, Sarpsborg 08 FF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Vålerenga Fotball | 29c | 1,492$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.66 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Vålerenga Fotball | 25c | 1,200$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Vålerenga Fotball | 28c | 1,055$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 70c | 844.52$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.72 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 71c | 444.52$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 71c | 235.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 70c | 200.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Vålerenga Fotball | 29c | 199.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 71c | 149$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 73c | 143.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vålerenga Fotball | 17c | 128.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 70c | 102.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Vålerenga Fotball | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 72c | 47.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 75c | 18.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…15c0backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 68c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.