Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98aa4aee94112459ec5e4b9abb6741b64c0c35f8543ba51f1bcbb0b693b55c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 1,051$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 25c | 1,007$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 71c | 454.29$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 58c | 300.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 252.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 42c | 198.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 184.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 58c | 141.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 123.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 60c | 101.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 101.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 92.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 59c | 80.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 58c | 73.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under | 58c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 42.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 48c | 27.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.