South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b07bd6236b7aed4508691f859cd32645dcd003c9e01a797482020d16a0d312c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 42c | 40,227$16,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,895.51 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.74 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 58c | 3,200$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 57c | 2,932$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.81 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 70c | 2,429$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.83 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 67c | 2,396$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.37 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 42c | 2,112$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.36 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 58c | 1,820$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 72c | 1,653$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 1,575$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 58c | 1,575$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.53 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Under | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 1,366$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 29c | 1,218$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.7 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 73c | 832$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 58c | 692.58$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.88 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 58c | 650$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 598.61$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.47 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 58c | 595.79$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.23 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 59c | 549.61$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 34c | 529.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 33c | 495.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 51c | 490.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 35c | 469.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 466.63$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Under | 41c | 463.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 64c | 404.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 394.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 16c | 368.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 350.55$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 58c | 335$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 58c | 324.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 59c | 321.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 58c | 320$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 58c | 312$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 58c | 312$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 33c | 285.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 58c | 282.21$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 36c | 267.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 52c | 246.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 64c | 241.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 32c | 226.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 70c | 226.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 21c | 221$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 40c | 220.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…0d91backed Under | 27c | 218.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 60c | 195.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 194.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 33c | 173.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 32c | 156.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…5c3abacked Under | 33c | 156.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 21c | 152.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 60c | 143.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 33c | 136.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 31c | 126.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 14c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 112.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 44c | 112.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 57c | 105.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 43c | 98.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 30c | 89.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 57c | 89.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 57c | 79.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 58c | 75.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…783cbacked Under | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…7fbfbacked Under | 38c | 51.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5this page
- EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.