Other European Leagues · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe17f3cdc9e84de4595fb620e7777e54c11004777dce0fbf4f878a8b9240f9bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 3,709$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 28c | 3,376$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.52 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 2,251$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.28 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 72c | 1,410$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 1,272$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 38c | 653.58$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 72c | 289.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 247.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 29c | 232.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 187.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…8e1abacked Over | 76c | 131.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 29c | 131.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Over | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…7198backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 59c | 87.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 62c | 80.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 45c | 76.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 19c | 72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…086dbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 65c | 48.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 76c | 36.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…fd81backed Over | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 72c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Antalyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.