Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52956c886382dde96deef4418e05b4d4d03a004b03e1ad792b7cb2b69de22fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 2,942$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 2,850$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 48c | 2,071$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 30c | 1,286$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.2 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 11c | 1,264$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…4e74backed No | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 509.44$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 63c | 492.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 71c | 419.87$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Yes | 30c | 404.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 44c | 391.57$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 33c | 334.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 28c | 292.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 56c | 261.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…d111backed Yes | 54c | 237.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed No | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 49c | 203.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 49c | 203.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…8b84backed Yes | 15c | 202.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +575.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…aefbbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +252%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 12c | 167.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 36c | 164.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 12c | 161.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 35c | 136.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed Yes | 79c | 125.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 123.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 12c | 120.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 32c | 96.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 94.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 49c | 92.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 58c | 84.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked No | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed No | 64c | 77.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed No | 63c | 77.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 78c | 77.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 67.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 57c | 60.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 33c | 56.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 54.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 43c | 50.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 45.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked No | 50c | 42.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 41.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 71c | 39.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bb…655abacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…8e96backed Yes | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 71c | 27.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 71c | 27.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 72c | 25.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 69c | 23.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed No | 64c | 23.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…4e2fbacked No | 64c | 22.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…b05ebacked Yes | 53c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 71c | 16.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.