Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fa7f3fb605aeb2cb5f238e418245a90b541d429bdfa2ec610f85ac3b83d6577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 38c | 7,708$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 69c | 4,643$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 2,015$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.89 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Under | 76c | 1,935$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.82 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,559$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.52 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 17c | 1,181$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 47c | 1,151$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.84 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 1,110$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.19 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 44c | 504.6$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 484.35$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 423.66$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 45c | 382.18$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 75c | 357.24$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 285$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 270.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 61c | 249.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 204.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 51c | 201.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 174.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 40c | 174$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 124.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 32c | 67.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 32c | 57.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 51.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 31c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 63c | 49.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 21c | 48.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 46.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Over | 33c | 42.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 43c | 29.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 65c | 25.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 73c | 17.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 73c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 77c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 0.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.