Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1dc0526bde5badad09add1027a37a705032ade24db183c4d96c246abb48306d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 3,803$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 59c | 2,712$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 2,073$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 1,477$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.12 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 55c | 1,476$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 28c | 1,034$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 7c | 445.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under | 75c | 400$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 313.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Over | 30c | 293.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Under | 14c | 151.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 55c | 109.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 14c | 107.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 60c | 85.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 46c | 85.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 69.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 68.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 68c | 65.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 60.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 21c | 54.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 34c | 37.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 35.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 45c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 0.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.