Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb66aa139dce116b74ea70c9cb9e244a0d2d812fb06c22a74ed93d509b977783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Brestois 29of RC Strasbourg Alsace, Stade Brestois 29
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 18c | 25,015$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.71 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Stade Brestois 29 | 79c | 3,272$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Stade Brestois 29 | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 1,181$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.17 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 18c | 1,004$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Stade Brestois 29 | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stade Brestois 29 | 75c | 834.91$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 18c | 722.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Stade Brestois 29 | 71c | 619.14$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 29c | 566.77$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 18c | 554.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 74c | 396.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 321.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 27c | 288.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Stade Brestois 29 | 73c | 271.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 222.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Stade Brestois 29 | 78c | 157.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 129.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 46c | 118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Stade Brestois 29 | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Stade Brestois 29 | 63c | 69.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 31c | 55.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Stade Brestois 29 | 75c | 40.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 76c | 30.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Stade Brestois 29 | 66c | 29.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Stade Brestois 29 | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stade Brestois 29 | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Stade Brestois 29 | 80c | 15.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)this page
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 0.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.