Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524df2e61797d4e36fb98ab8440fefe4903656a6f178664fc590f8275b4d11c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 4,715$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.03 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over | 74c | 2,247$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 24c | 1,700$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 66c | 1,412$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.32 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 76c | 1,304$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 6c | 1,261$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 1,206$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 846.75$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 68c | 689.34$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.85 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 574.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 25c | 478.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 75c | 465$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 25c | 460$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 23c | 341.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 62c | 292.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 9c | 275.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Under | 24c | 254$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 65c | 220.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 38c | 205.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 156.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 75c | 145.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 26c | 144$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 134.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 24c | 130.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 73c | 125.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 118.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 54c | 116.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 23c | 108.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 76c | 105.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 63c | 102.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 22c | 88.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 63c | 76.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 76c | 68.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 64.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…c73ebacked Over | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 71c | 27.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 56c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 73c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 66c | 15.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 78c | 15.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 78c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.