Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc982acdc3e3ffd210fa91ba7436120d083a9f03ff1c201a05361de71ed2aa957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 4,691$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 48c | 3,126$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.8 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3149backed Yes | 48c | 2,045$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 2,012$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.4 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 1,571$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.61 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 48c | 988.08$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 932.46$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.82 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 53c | 752.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.97 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 52c | 575.64$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.74 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 9c | 555.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 484.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.1 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 60c | 450.2$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 41c | 310$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 56c | 266.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 43c | 249.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 76c | 226.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 49c | 204.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 168.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 166$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 160.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 143.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 135.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 103.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 55c | 87.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 52c | 69.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…2bbdbacked Yes | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…edf4backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…a62cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 42.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 49c | 41.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Yes | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 47c | 33.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 46c | 31.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked No | 53c | 31.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 49c | 30.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 48c | 30.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 60c | 28.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 53c | 26.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 53c | 26.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed No | 55c | 24.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.