TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c8,845$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c5,784$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over40c3,242$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.38837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over49c3,139$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5503923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02011127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over51c1,231$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.6215946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over49c1,108$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531a…5127backed Over52c1,038$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3917744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c967.89$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c902.53$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over46c864.21$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c758.39$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.2534239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c700.03$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2436456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under51c657.53$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.764242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under49c587.88$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8211349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c504$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over45c449.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c428.03$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0141144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.911348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Over51c392.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c388.62$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0812357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c385.6$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c369.25$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2419952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over32c321.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.21540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c293.18$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over11c280.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.838158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9327…ab25backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under50c200.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.165166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over50c199$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfc…99f9backed Under49c197.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over48c168.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over30c163.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.231872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under65c137.85$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.354271.4%30 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under50c126.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.341154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c123$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.962250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd19c…160fbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c119.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over33c115.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.534535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under50c109.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over49c100.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over51c89.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5417354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under59c85.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c84.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4222545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under48c84.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.689826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over55c81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.55944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over28c80.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.469561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over29c79.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.952835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under53c73.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under51c70.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over33c65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4514651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04dc…62acbacked Over52c64.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over54c62.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over29c58.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.727964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over59c54.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258523.5%20 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8609…a968backed Under53c47.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over29c43.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.529056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c43.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7520452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9883…1d31backed Over30c35.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under52c35.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1611360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…29b9backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7e2…4a97backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over52c26.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Over52c25.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.084940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over47c21.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.144163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under48c20.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.922055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over52c20.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.653458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under62c20.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.613060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2068…d19bbacked Under62c18.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.141060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.