Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36e851e0c6746b91a4de292fce4699e5d7a50907cdd7f07e331b210ddfc78bdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 28c | 5,200$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.38 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 3,805$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.82 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 1,593$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.9 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,504$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.57 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 57c | 1,051$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 48c | 438.6$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 48c | 271.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 52c | 243.13$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 40c | 240.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 212.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 61c | 211.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 156 | 71.8%112 W · 44 L | +33.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 56c | 211.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 52c | 179.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 174$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 142$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 37c | 129.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 47c | 126$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 16c | 112.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 45c | 99.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Yes | 58c | 84.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 55c | 62.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 47.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 55c | 46.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…3457backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 42c | 32.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 56c | 31.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 31.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 66c | 26.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 56c | 25.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed No | 47c | 23.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…b0a4backed Yes | 70c | 18.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 73c | 14.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.