Movies · resolved market
Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68ab62c3ee4fdabf6cf8b4690e0fb3362bf86cec7fdb6fb3bc65d12e5b153e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 10c | 3,849$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 9c | 1,165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.48 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 47c | 351.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 14c | 319.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 24c | 255.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…47b7backed Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 21cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 32c | 198.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 131.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1055…b628backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed No | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…86a7backed No | 69c | 91.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 35c | 59.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…aa26backed Yes | 64c | 51.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…5afabacked No | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 74c | 37.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…4681backed Yes | 32c | 32.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Yes | 80c | 25.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc68…2f6ebacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaff…e10fbacked No | 56c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…045bbacked No | 70c | 21.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.