NBA · resolved market
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4209988457cc5bb8fa329440f5b181ed94d2190f8567a8ab2a21fcec907fb706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe388…2c08backed Yes | 9c | 2,281$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 1,471$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,094$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fd…876ebacked Yes | 6c | 825.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd9…14d6backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…30a3backed Yes | 3c | 413.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 7c | 376.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +360.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 249.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1b…3ff7backed Yes | 8c | 192.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 164.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 8c | 159.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 10c | 156.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…dd60backed Yes | 8c | 126.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 9c | 126$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 9c | 118.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9147backed Yes | 18c | 86.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 15c | 77.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.