Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92ede2083419066ac4c990690cfa5a7ece5aa3cd47259b35e1cec093990f783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1df8…6c4ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,953$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…38b3backed Yes | 49c | 1,237$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 26c | 708.83$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.63 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbf…0771backed Yes | 7c | 691.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…fa45backed Yes | 17c | 591.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 556$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 63c | 550$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 53c | 538.94$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 59c | 536.56$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 70c | 495.18$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…7fd7backed Yes | 2c | 494.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 18c | 484.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 5c | 381.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed No | 52c | 351.2$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 72c | 332.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 312$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 302.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 300.94$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed No | 68c | 273.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 54c | 265.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 61c | 256.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 68c | 254.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 246$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 36c | 244.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 225.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 62c | 223.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 212.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 69c | 209.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 30c | 209.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 47c | 207.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 61c | 204.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…9d77backed No | 48c | 198.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 54c | 193.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d44…e684backed Yes | 51c | 192.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 42c | 191.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…5b1cbacked No | 73c | 191.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 43c | 189$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 53c | 186.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked Yes | 50c | 180.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 48c | 179.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…0511backed Yes | 42c | 176.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 64c | 175.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Yes | 40c | 175.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 173.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 10c | 169.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 39c | 160$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…36abbacked Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f10…9059backed Yes | 63c | 159.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 148.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 30c | 148.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 137.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 55c | 134.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 40c | 125.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 124.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 39c | 123.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 41c | 122.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 48c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 117.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 47c | 114.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 49c | 113.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…2ff3backed Yes | 13c | 110.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…b978backed Yes | 20c | 109.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed No | 47c | 109.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…15a9backed Yes | 55c | 109.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…4a9cbacked Yes | 50c | 109.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 39c | 107.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 60c | 105$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…db84backed Yes | 46c | 104.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 103.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…3a72backed Yes | 11c | 102.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Yes | 45c | 100.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…eef3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…0f63backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 51c | 96.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…8e95backed No | 56c | 88.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 46c | 87.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 39c | 87.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 57c | 87.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…7c77backed Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…e906backed Yes | 25c | 85.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…371abacked Yes | 48c | 82.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 82.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 46c | 82.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 45c | 78.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked No | 61c | 76.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…54c7backed Yes | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.