Lol · resolved market
Will JD Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06ab0bd7ffa94e96e07608cf7ef871d387d021d992e917eedb562bb87e02f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 28c | 392.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd43…dbbabacked No | 39c | 263.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 69c | 195$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 64c | 119.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…31f5backed Yes | 70c | 115.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…7f61backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed No | 33c | 41.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…c10fbacked Yes | 66c | 37.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016a…1e22backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JD Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?this page
- Will Anyone's Legend qualify for EWC 2026?Yes won
- Will Bilibili Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Invictus Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will LNG Esports qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify for EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.