Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ad9b2ca2c2fc91e09de12e3d450831b63640bcc8b203475bec402b2f101880

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,377 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes	8c	681.27$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes	19c	600$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	9c	436.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.76	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa220…4c66backed Yes	11c	385.9$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.86	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+394.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	10c	167.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	7c	167.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked Yes	22c	131.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.36	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…8725backed Yes	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	12c	106$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	24c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	21c	63.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.47	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Yes	19c	54.07$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	25c	51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	75c	23$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.75	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	78c	20.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.47	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9065…e61fbacked No	74c	20.35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+129.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	77c	19.48$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.48	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	76c	18.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.55	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8837…bc45backed No	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.39per pick	41cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event