Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc34da5e59d830dd89d2f5a44c6fc8626972084f73ee42c346cc3150e007021cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 0c | 49,912$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 5c | 25,024$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.87 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 13,461$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.26 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 5,894$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.55 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 1c | 2,215$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 59c | 1,818$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 5c | 1,684$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 1,177$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 16c | 1,144$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 41c | 843.08$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 63c | 838.5$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.25 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 40c | 801.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ec…1c51backed No | 40c | 799.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed No | 40c | 776.39$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 37c | 751.27$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.02 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 64c | 666.14$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 4c | 493.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 480.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed No | 2c | 466.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 4c | 466.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 456.96$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 40c | 455.13$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 63c | 352.36$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 62c | 302.44$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 12c | 286.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 68c | 265.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed No | 6c | 246.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 11c | 216.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 64c | 199.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 61c | 175.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 40c | 149.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 36c | 148.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 39c | 145.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed No | 31c | 138.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 62c | 104.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 27c | 88.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 65c | 83.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 39c | 83.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 82.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 37c | 76.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 65c | 76.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 72cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 37c | 76.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 59c | 62.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…e96bbacked No | 44c | 43.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 60c | 40.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 61c | 38.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 59c | 38.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 59c | 38.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 59c | 38.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 63c | 34.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 60c | 34.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 62c | 32.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 38c | 31.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 38c | 31.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 38c | 31.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 56c | 31.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 40c | 31.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 65c | 27.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 61c | 21.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Yes | 60c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…e730backed Yes | 56c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17c…e5c2backed Yes | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 62c | 17.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 62c | 17.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.