South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9181cfa1844dd62a893b9aa4f13def1d8c15b1a51b4bdd84deeb8f969f94f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54b8…98d8backed Yes | 0c | 14,134$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 3,300$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.12 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,261$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.53 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 2,113$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 41c | 1,929$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.69 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 1,539$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 1,095$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.3 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 59c | 1,020$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 75c | 987.89$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.63 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 727.49$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 634$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 35c | 623.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 32c | 482.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 74c | 417.25$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 24c | 375.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 6c | 351.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 281.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 66c | 265.03$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 26c | 235.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 35c | 233.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 232.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…5bedbacked Yes | 37c | 208.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 39c | 199.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…a425backed Yes | 25c | 189.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 163.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 155.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 70c | 152$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 38c | 144.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 113.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 109.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 60c | 103.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed No | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 71.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 19c | 66.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 66.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…6c25backed Yes | 37c | 65.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 56.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…dc63backed Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 40c | 52.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…da7dbacked Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 32c | 48.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 39c | 48.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 34c | 45.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 35c | 43.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 37.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 63c | 37.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 65c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…69ddbacked No | 65c | 28.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 62c | 27.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 63c | 27.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…7a02backed No | 64c | 24.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 67c | 24.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 77c | 24.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…465cbacked No | 74c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 65c | 19.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…b078backed No | 69c | 19.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 62c | 17.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 76c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 72c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.