South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4146ad521ec10b4867654e940bded5fe403c240e7f17a6dc115738b277c270f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 2,136$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.82 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,323$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 73c | 1,099$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.72 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 587.2$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 68c | 509.78$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 471.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 379.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 282.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 29c | 268.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 193.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9a33backed Yes | 8c | 161.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 150.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed No | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 133.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 113.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 66c | 90.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 35c | 71.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…6d9cbacked Yes | 39c | 64.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 75c | 57.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 72c | 56.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 56.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 72c | 53.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 25c | 47.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 75c | 34.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 31.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 29.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 66c | 29.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 39c | 28.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 68c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked No | 73c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 70c | 21.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…465cbacked No | 73c | 19.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 67c | 18.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-24?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.